Sumber: Cnnindonesia.com | 02 Sep 2020<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Menteri Keuangan Sri Mulyani memprediksi ekonomi kuartal III 2020 minus. Artinya, RI akan masuk jurang resesi setelah pertumbuhan ekonominya pada kuartal II lalu minus 5,32 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Namun demikian, ia tak menyebut pasti apakah kontraksi ekonomi periode Juli-September 2020 akan lebih parah atau membaik dibandingkan kuartal II 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cDiprediksi kuartal III 2020 (Indonesia) alami pertumbuhan negatif,\u201d ungkap Ani, panggilan akrabnya, dalam video conference, Rabu (2\/9).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Diketahui, suatu negara disebut resesi jika ekonominya tumbuh minus dalam dua kuartal berturut-turut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sementara, Ani melihat ekonomi Indonesia pada kuartal IV 2020 juga belum pulih sepenuhnya. Dengan kata lain, ekonomi domestik masih sulit tumbuh positif di tengah pandemi virus corona.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cEkonomi kuartal IV 2020 masih dalam zona sedikit di bawah netral,\u201d terang dia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sepanjang tahun ini, ia memprediksi ekonomi Indonesia minus 0,2 persen hingga 1,1 persen. Angka tersebut lebih buruk dari prediksi awal yang minus 0,4 persen sampai positif 2,3 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Namun, pemerintah terlihat lebih optimis pada tahun depan. Ani menargetkan ekonomi positif 4,5 persen sampai 5,5 persen pada 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hanya saja, pemulihan ekonomi baru akan benar-benar terlihat pada semester II 2021. Ia berpendapat pemulihan ekonomi pada semester I 2021 belum cukup kuat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cJadi semester I tahun depan tidak bisa diasumsikan pemulihan ekonomi yang full power (kekuatan penuh),\u201d kata Ani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ia menambahkan pemulihan ekonomi belum akan maksimal pada paruh pertama tahun depan karena terhalang pandemi virus corona. Wabah itu diprediksi masih menahan konsumsi dan investasi pada awal 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cSehingga ekonomi sangat tergantung dengan pemulihan pada semester II 2020,\u201d pungkasnya.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Source: Cnnindonesia.com | 02 Sep 2020 Finance Minister Sri Mulyani predicts the economy in the third quarter of 2020 will be minus. This means that Indonesia will enter the abyss of recession after its economic growth in the second quarter was minus 5.32 percent. However, he did not say for sure whether the economic contraction in the July-September 2020 period would be worse or better than the second quarter of 2020. “It is predicted that in the third quarter of 2020 (Indonesia) will experience negative growth,” said Ani, his nickname, in a video conference, Wednesday (2\/9). It is known, a country is called a recession if its economy grows minus in two consecutive quarters. Meanwhile, Ani sees that Indonesia’s economy in the fourth quarter of 2020 has not fully recovered. In other words, it is still difficult for the domestic economy to grow positively amid the coronavirus pandemic. “The economy in the fourth quarter of 2020 is still in a zone slightly below neutral,” he explained. Throughout this year, he predicts the Indonesian economy will be minus 0.2 percent to 1.1 percent. This figure is worse than the initial prediction of minus 0.4 percent to positive 2.3 percent. However, the government looks more optimistic next year. Ani targets a positive economy of 4.5 percent to 5.5 percent in 2021. It’s just that the economic recovery will only really be seen in the second semester of 2021. He is of the opinion that the economic recovery in the first semester of 2021 is not strong enough. “So in the first semester of next year, we cannot assume a full power economic recovery,” said Ani. He added that the economic recovery will not be maximized in the first half of next year because it is hindered by the corona virus pandemic. The outbreak is predicted to hold back consumption and investment in early 2021. “So that the economy really depends on the recovery in the second semester of 2020,” he concluded.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3120,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-announcements"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3111","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3111"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3111\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3111"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3111"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bakrie-brothers.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3111"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}